I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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25–2 on winners spread MAE 8.3 27 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Harvard @ Kansas +19.3 139.7 90% 54–68 ✓
Wright State @ Miami (OH) -1.7 152.2 46% 88–80 ✓
NJIT @ South Florida +10.1 132.2 83% 73–92 ✓
Louisville @ NC State +18.3 147.1 90% 64–76 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Joseph's +9.5 139.7 81% 66–83 ✓
Marist @ Rider +6.2 131.3 70% 71–77 ✓
Queens University @ Fairleigh Dickinson -4.8 151.7 25% 82–73 ✓
Yale @ Monmouth -10.7 135.0 17% 76–44 ✓
Western Kentucky @ South Carolina +0.3 134.2 50% 58–65 ✓
New Mexico State @ North Carolina A&T -11.6 140.8 16% 85–76 ✓
Charlotte @ UAB +7.7 140.0 79% 68–76 ✓
Morgan State @ Arizona +24.4 161.5 91% 68–93 ✓
Texas Southern @ Wichita State +12.7 135.8 87% 56–65 ✓
North Texas @ UTSA -12.5 131.6 12% 78–54 ✓
Butler @ Creighton +5.2 139.2 75% 56–78 ✓
Illinois @ Missouri -6.3 151.4 31% 71–93 ✗
Weber State @ BYU +10.2 136.5 82% 57–63 ✓
George Washington @ Washington State +10.2 136.8 80% 64–66 ✓
Hartford @ San Francisco +25.0 140.5 91% 53–85 ✓
Kent State @ UTEP -7.1 137.1 25% 47–46 ✓
Portland State @ California Baptist +6.8 142.8 71% 74–72 ✗
Southern Miss @ UNLV +5.3 145.5 75% 63–74 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Stanford +5.3 128.8 71% 62–75 ✓
Pepperdine @ Hawai'i +7.0 143.7 80% 70–76 ✓
Coppin State @ George Mason +12.0 151.5 85% 53–91 ✓
Iona @ Seattle U -5.4 142.9 31% 83–72 ✓
Bucknell @ Rutgers +20.6 131.7 90% 50–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.