Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | RID -275 MRST +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | RID -11.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -7.1 (-1.1) | 132.5 (+15.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -6.2 (-0.2) | 131.3 (+16.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -6.8 (-0.8) | 132.2 (+15.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -6.7 (-0.7) | 132.2 (+15.8) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | MRST 81 – 52 RID |
| Jan 11, 2026 | MRST 71 – 49 RID |
| Jan 19, 2025 | RID 64 – 57 MRST |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MRST 77 – 62 RID |
| Jan 14, 2024 | MRST 83 – 60 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 8-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 66.7 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#205) | -8.1 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#261) | -1.66 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#247) | -2.45 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#298) | 0.393 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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