Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -21.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | KU -4500 HARV +1550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | KU -21.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (-13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -19.1 (-5.1) | 140.4 (-18.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -19.3 (-5.3) | 139.7 (-17.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -18.7 (-4.7) | 139.7 (-17.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -20.0 (-6.0) | 139.4 (-17.4) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#6) | 0.3 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#3) | 0.36 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.53 (#6) | -0.03 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.678 (#2) | 0.515 (#150) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.