I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Marriott Center · December 23, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BYU -13.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Under
Money BYU -900 / WEB +700
Model Predictions
Spread Total BYU win
Actual BYU +6 120 Won
Massey BYU -9.9 (-3.9) — —
Massey Totals — 142.1 (-22.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 83% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BYU -8.3 (-2.3) 141.3 (-21.3) 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BYU -10.2 (-4.2) 136.5 (-16.5) 82% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BYU -8.5 (-2.5) 138.7 (-18.7) 80% ✓
Baseline ML BYU -8.9 (-2.9) 141.6 (-21.6) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 19, 2021 BYU 89 – 71 WEB
Dec 24, 2020 BYU 87 – 79 WEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BYU WEB
Overall 19-15 18-15
Conference 7-9 12-6
Home 12-4 8-4
Away 2-7 8-8
Neutral 4-4 2-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.1 66.3
Avg Pts Against 70.1 67.9
Massey 3.0 (#118) -2.1 (#213)
Bradley-Terry 0.42 (#140) -0.29 (#208)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.97 (#105) -0.57 (#220)
RPI 0.501 (#176) 0.489 (#198)
Shooting & Four Factors BYU WEB
FG% 42.9% 42.2%
3PT% 29.9% 32.7%
REB / G 41.4 29.4
OREB / G 12.9 6.3
AST / TO 0.92 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 49.1%
TOV% 21.8% 21.3%
ORB% 33.9% 20.1%
FT Rate 22.1% 28.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 56.1%
Opp TOV% 19.3% 18.9%
DRB% 77.2% 78.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 21.9%

Game Analysis

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