Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
Dee Events Center · December 19, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BYU -5.5 Away covered
O/U 150.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual BYU +18 160 Lost
Massey BYU -5.2 (-12.8) — —
Massey Totals — 142.5 (+17.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 46% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 32% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BYU -2.1 (-15.9) 146.7 (+13.3) 42% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BYU -5.6 (-12.4) 149.8 (+10.2) 29% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BYU -1.6 (-16.4) 148.8 (+11.2) 45% ✓
Baseline ML BYU -2.3 (-15.7) 147.4 (+12.6) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 23, 2022 BYU 63 – 57 WEB
Dec 24, 2020 BYU 87 – 79 WEB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB BYU
Overall 21-12 24-11
Conference 13-7 9-6
Home 9-6 14-3
Away 8-5 6-5
Neutral 4-1 4-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.2 73.8
Avg Pts Against 71.7 69.0
Massey 2.1 (#130) 11.8 (#28)
Bradley-Terry 1.25 (#78) 2.28 (#33)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.53 (#84) 3.25 (#31)
RPI 0.536 (#113) 0.658 (#12)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB BYU
FG% 46.3% 43.5%
3PT% 33.3% 32.0%
REB / G 31.7 41.7
OREB / G 6.6 12.2
AST / TO 0.94 1.20
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 49.4%
TOV% 16.1% 16.9%
ORB% 19.5% 32.9%
FT Rate 26.3% 22.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 43.9%
Opp TOV% 22.0% 15.6%
DRB% 70.4% 74.9%
Opp FT Rate 13.6% 23.6%

Game Analysis

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