Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MONM +600 YALE -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +32 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -22.8 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -15.7 (-16.3) | 138.3 (-18.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -10.7 (-21.3) | 135.0 (-15.0) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -12.2 (-19.8) | 139.9 (-19.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -14.4 (-17.6) | 140.7 (-20.7) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2021 | MONM 69 – 60 YALE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-4 |
| Home | 3-10 | 10-1 |
| Away | 3-15 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 64.3 |
| Massey | -16.0 (#358) | 11.5 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#323) | 1.30 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#321) | 1.66 (#80) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#313) | 0.559 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 24.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.1% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.