Betting Lines
| Spread | YALE -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YALE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -3.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -0.6 (-8.4) | 146.8 (-17.8) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -1.1 (-7.9) | 143.2 (-14.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -1.9 (-7.1) | 144.6 (-15.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -1.2 (-7.8) | 143.8 (-14.8) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2022 | YALE 76 – 44 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YALE | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#154) | 8.6 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#194) | 2.40 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#169) | 3.20 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#165) | 0.607 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YALE | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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