Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | CREI -350 BTLR +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -6.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -3.9 (+18.1) | 139.9 (-5.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -5.2 (+16.8) | 139.2 (-5.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -3.2 (+18.8) | 138.8 (-4.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -3.1 (+18.9) | 137.1 (-3.1) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CREI 76 – 59 BTLR |
| Dec 31, 2025 | CREI 89 – 85 BTLR |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CREI 87 – 74 BTLR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CREI 80 – 76 BTLR |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CREI 79 – 57 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 6-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#35) | 9.8 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#100) | 1.57 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#93) | 2.11 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#64) | 0.553 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | BTLR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 55.0% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 10.8% | 11.2% |
Game Analysis
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