Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | WICH -700 TXSO +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -14.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -12.2 (-3.2) | 134.7 (-13.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -12.7 (-3.7) | 135.8 (-14.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -11.7 (-2.7) | 132.7 (-11.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -12.0 (-3.0) | 132.6 (-11.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-9 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#103) | -5.6 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#151) | -0.75 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#129) | -1.38 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#146) | 0.491 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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