Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | FDU +260 QUC -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | QUC -4.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -4.8 (-4.2) | 151.7 (+3.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -3.0 (-6.0) | 154.5 (+0.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -2.6 (-6.4) | 153.0 (+2.0) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -2.5 (-6.5) | 152.4 (+2.6) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2023 | QUC 97 – 84 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#304) | 1.7 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#270) | 1.00 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#274) | 0.51 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#285) | 0.541 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.0% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 15.4% |
Game Analysis
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