Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | QUC -188 FDU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +13 | 181 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -7.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -5.1 (+7.9) | 154.3 (+26.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -4.0 (+9.0) | 147.4 (+33.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -4.9 (+8.1) | 148.0 (+33.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -4.7 (+8.3) | 152.5 (+28.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2022 | QUC 82 – 73 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-16 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.6 | 78.4 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#258) | -4.5 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#208) | 0.84 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#214) | 0.91 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#249) | 0.540 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 18.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 33.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 59.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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