Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | SC +122 WKU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +7 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -1.4 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -0.3 (+7.3) | 135.7 (-12.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -0.3 (+6.7) | 134.2 (-11.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -0.0 (+7.0) | 137.6 (-14.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -0.3 (+7.3) | 137.9 (-14.9) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2021 | SC 75 – 64 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#302) | -1.2 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#200) | 0.70 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#234) | 0.15 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#212) | 0.524 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.5% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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