You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Washington State Cougars
66 – 64
FINAL Neutral Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
George Washington Revolutionaries
Stan Sheriff Center (Neutral) · December 23, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread WSU -10.0 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money WSU -650 / GW +460
Model Predictions
Spread Total WSU win
Actual WSU +2 130 Won
Massey WSU -9.9 (-7.9) — —
Massey Totals — 142.3 (-12.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 61% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WSU -7.1 (-5.1) 138.1 (-8.1) 74% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WSU -10.2 (-8.2) 136.8 (-6.8) 80% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WSU -6.8 (-4.8) 140.5 (-10.5) 74% ✓
Baseline ML WSU -6.5 (-4.5) 141.5 (-11.5) 75% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WSU GW
Overall 17-17 16-16
Conference 11-9 10-8
Home 10-4 11-6
Away 4-8 5-6
Neutral 3-5 0-4
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 68.4 76.0
Avg Pts Against 65.7 77.3
Massey 8.7 (#60) -1.3 (#192)
Bradley-Terry -0.23 (#197) -0.66 (#241)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.26 (#160) -0.89 (#244)
RPI 0.491 (#195) 0.436 (#289)
Shooting & Four Factors WSU GW
FG% 45.2% 48.0%
3PT% 38.4% 33.6%
REB / G 35.6 34.6
OREB / G 11.1 9.0
AST / TO 0.88 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.7% 55.5%
TOV% 21.6% 18.6%
ORB% 34.2% 29.7%
FT Rate 19.7% 26.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 15.5%
DRB% 75.6% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.5% 15.4%

Game Analysis

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