Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | UTEP +275 KENT -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +1 | 93 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -11.7 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (-43.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -7.0 (+6.0) | 138.3 (-45.3) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -7.1 (+6.1) | 137.1 (-44.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -6.9 (+5.9) | 136.9 (-43.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -7.2 (+6.2) | 136.9 (-43.9) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-7 | 15-0 |
| Away | 3-10 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#237) | 13.3 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#113) | 2.17 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#125) | 3.06 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#162) | 0.592 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 24.5% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 24.3% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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