Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 123.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA +650 UNT -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +24 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | UNT -10.4 (-13.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -9.9 (-14.1) | 129.8 (+2.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -12.5 (-11.5) | 131.6 (+0.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -10.6 (-13.4) | 132.3 (-0.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -10.0 (-14.0) | 132.2 (-0.2) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UNT 81 – 58 UTSA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | UNT 81 – 62 UTSA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UTSA 54 – 50 UNT |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UNT 72 – 57 UTSA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UTSA 64 – 62 UNT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 31-7 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 16-4 |
| Home | 8-10 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 56.3 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#301) | 7.9 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#289) | 2.11 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#254) | 2.73 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.418 (#312) | 0.616 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 37.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.