Betting Lines
| Spread | RUTG -18.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | RUTG -8000 BUCK +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RUTG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RUTG +35 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | RUTG -20.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RUTG -18.6 (+16.4) | 133.7 (+1.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RUTG -20.6 (+14.4) | 131.7 (+3.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RUTG -17.4 (+17.6) | 132.2 (+2.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RUTG -16.9 (+18.1) | 132.9 (+2.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RUTG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.1 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#14) | -2.2 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#119) | -0.87 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#87) | -1.00 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#111) | 0.434 (#292) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RUTG | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.8% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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