Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -200 AKR +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +19 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -9.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -6.6 (+12.4) | 127.5 (+1.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -8.2 (+10.8) | 129.5 (-0.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -8.2 (+10.8) | 129.4 (-0.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -6.6 (+12.4) | 129.2 (-0.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2023 | AKR 67 – 52 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 8-6 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#71) | 2.2 (#132) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.17 (#88) | 0.91 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#91) | 0.99 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#113) | 0.543 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 15.0% |
Game Analysis
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