Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | AKR -145 BRAD +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AKR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AKR +15 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -3.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AKR -2.4 (+12.6) | 140.7 (-21.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -3.2 (+11.8) | 139.5 (-20.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -2.7 (+12.3) | 141.0 (-22.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -2.4 (+12.6) | 139.8 (-20.8) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | BRAD 74 – 55 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AKR | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-1 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#133) | 4.7 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#145) | 1.89 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#153) | 2.10 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#148) | 0.668 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AKR | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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