Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO +300 SIU -333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -1.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -1.8 (-0.2) | 137.2 (+0.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -2.3 (+0.3) | 137.8 (+0.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -1.4 (-0.6) | 136.6 (+1.4) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -1.8 (-0.2) | 137.2 (+0.8) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2021 | SIU 80 – 55 SEMO |
| Dec 3, 2020 | SIU 87 – 79 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 61.7 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#245) | 3.1 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#221) | 0.78 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#221) | 0.48 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#199) | 0.529 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.