Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -5000 ME +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +34 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -21.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+9.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -19.4 (+14.6) | 143.6 (+12.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -23.1 (+10.9) | 142.7 (+13.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -17.2 (+16.8) | 147.1 (+8.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -19.1 (+14.9) | 146.9 (+9.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#13) | -2.8 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#83) | -0.49 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#79) | -0.22 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#76) | 0.481 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 37.8% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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