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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–14 on winners spread MAE 9.7 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Jackson State @ Alabama +25.4 156.2 91% 64–84 ✓
Elon @ Indiana +24.1 144.5 90% 72–96 ✓
Marquette @ Providence +0.5 150.8 60% 98–103 ✓
The Citadel @ North Carolina Central +8.1 144.3 80% 74–81 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Temple +12.7 136.2 87% 86–78 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Kennesaw State +9.6 138.5 86% 56–65 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.2 149.6 76% 59–83 ✓
Alcorn State @ Dayton +12.5 131.0 86% 46–88 ✓
Army @ Central Connecticut +0.9 140.0 50% 66–55 ✗
Dartmouth @ Massachusetts +11.7 139.9 85% 57–68 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Little Rock +1.6 155.4 58% 66–75 ✓
Queens University @ Nebraska +5.3 138.2 72% 65–75 ✓
Northwestern State @ Baylor +22.1 151.6 90% 48–58 ✓
Idaho State @ Grand Canyon +15.3 133.7 87% 66–68 ✓
Pacific @ Lamar -6.1 144.6 22% 74–65 ✓
Air Force @ Northern Colorado +2.1 140.5 59% 67–65 ✗
Montana State @ Arizona +14.5 153.8 88% 64–85 ✓
Virginia @ Miami +0.5 133.5 62% 64–66 ✓
Seton Hall @ Xavier +9.1 142.8 82% 70–73 ✓
Montana @ Gonzaga +18.2 146.7 89% 75–85 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ New Mexico +14.5 144.6 88% 63–94 ✓
Lindenwood @ BYU +14.9 146.6 87% 61–90 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse +2.8 142.4 52% 84–82 ✗
UIC @ Northwestern +16.8 134.4 87% 54–92 ✓
Florida @ Oklahoma -1.0 135.6 47% 53–62 ✗
Fresno State @ Cal State Bakersfield -3.1 120.1 34% 56–48 ✓
Cal Poly @ San José State +5.8 126.4 74% 43–65 ✓
San Diego @ UC Riverside +5.4 144.9 71% 92–84 ✗
Harvard @ UC Irvine +11.4 135.4 85% 62–57 ✗
Utah Valley @ Oregon +8.4 139.1 76% 77–72 ✗
UC San Diego @ San Diego State +20.2 135.6 90% 46–62 ✓
James Madison @ Coppin State -8.9 161.4 25% 100–107 ✗
Stonehill @ Valparaiso +2.1 142.7 59% 67–77 ✓
Northeastern @ Davidson +12.3 142.6 83% 73–70 ✗
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas +7.4 145.6 78% 68–78 ✓
Jacksonville State @ South Alabama +8.9 139.7 81% 66–71 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Campbell -1.3 129.0 39% 74–66 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Howard -0.9 132.3 51% 62–63 ✗
Lafayette @ La Salle +4.9 133.1 63% 90–65 ✗
Winthrop @ Duquesne +9.5 145.3 84% 57–74 ✓
Houston Christian @ Texas Tech +28.1 152.2 91% 67–111 ✓
Radford @ Kansas State +16.7 138.2 88% 65–73 ✓
Chattanooga @ Georgia +3.7 141.4 68% 65–72 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Iowa +26.7 154.5 90% 92–83 ✗
Boston University @ UMass Lowell +9.2 141.2 80% 60–68 ✓
George Mason @ Old Dominion +4.0 133.3 68% 77–78 ✓
UC Davis @ UCLA +22.9 151.7 90% 54–81 ✓
Norfolk State @ Nevada +10.8 141.6 87% 66–78 ✓
Austin Peay @ Tennessee +26.7 127.0 91% 44–86 ✓
High Point @ East Carolina +5.0 153.3 70% 49–60 ✓
App State @ UC Santa Barbara +4.2 131.1 68% 50–61 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Boston College -10.3 133.4 21% 65–70 ✗
St. John's @ Villanova +2.8 147.3 63% 63–78 ✓
Oakland @ Michigan State +19.0 148.4 90% 54–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.