Betting Lines
| Spread | SYR -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SYR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | SYR -0.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (+30.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SYR -1.7 (-3.7) | 140.7 (+25.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SYR -2.8 (-4.8) | 142.4 (+23.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SYR -1.0 (-3.0) | 140.6 (+25.4) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SYR -1.3 (-3.3) | 143.2 (+22.8) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PITT 71 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | SYR 83 – 72 PITT |
| Feb 19, 2025 | PITT 80 – 69 SYR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | PITT 77 – 73 SYR |
| Jan 17, 2024 | SYR 69 – 58 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#126) | 6.8 (#72) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#153) | 1.06 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#149) | 2.10 (#65) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#159) | 0.541 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SYR | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.1% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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