Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -29.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | ALA -8000 JKST +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +20 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -31.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -26.2 (-6.2) | 156.4 (-8.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -25.4 (-5.4) | 156.2 (-8.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -23.1 (-3.1) | 158.2 (-10.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -28.4 (-8.4) | 157.8 (-9.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-6 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-0 | 7-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-14 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.8 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 73.6 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#8) | -10.3 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#6) | -1.93 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.81 (#5) | -3.47 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.684 (#2) | 0.420 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 47.7 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 37.7% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 13.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.