Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU +110 ARMY -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +11 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -4.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -0.9 (-11.9) | 140.0 (-19.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -2.8 (-13.8) | 141.1 (-20.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -3.2 (-14.2) | 141.4 (-20.4) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -2.7 (-13.7) | 141.5 (-20.5) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2023 | CCSU 79 – 51 ARMY |
| Nov 27, 2020 | ARMY 79 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-14 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#311) | -7.9 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#343) | -1.98 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.23 (#337) | -2.67 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.401 (#324) | 0.356 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 14.0% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.