Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -145 CCSU +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +28 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | ARMY -5.6 (-33.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -1.1 (-29.1) | 127.2 (+2.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.3 (-30.3) | 126.5 (+3.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.8 (-30.8) | 127.8 (+2.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -1.3 (-29.3) | 128.8 (+1.2) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2022 | ARMY 66 – 55 CCSU |
| Nov 27, 2020 | ARMY 79 – 57 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-3 |
| Home | 6-11 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.9 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.7 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#321) | -8.0 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.88 (#342) | -2.07 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.26 (#340) | -3.27 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#339) | 0.394 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 13.0% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 60.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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