Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -4000 LIN +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +29 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -16.4 (+12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -12.9 (+16.1) | 148.8 (+2.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -14.9 (+14.1) | 146.6 (+4.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -13.5 (+15.5) | 149.2 (+1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -13.3 (+15.7) | 148.5 (+2.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-7 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 1.8 (#141) | -9.8 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#150) | -2.12 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#122) | -2.76 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#172) | 0.389 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 76.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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