Betting Lines
| Spread | XAV -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | XAV -400 HALL +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | XAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | XAV +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | XAV -11.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | XAV -10.3 (-7.3) | 143.6 (-0.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | XAV -9.1 (-6.1) | 142.8 (+0.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | XAV -10.3 (-7.3) | 146.1 (-3.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | XAV -9.4 (-6.4) | 146.4 (-3.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | HALL 77 – 68 XAV |
| Jan 29, 2026 | HALL 86 – 68 XAV |
| Feb 23, 2025 | XAV 73 – 66 HALL |
| Dec 31, 2024 | XAV 94 – 72 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2024 | HALL 88 – 70 XAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#26) | 6.2 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#44) | 0.45 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#36) | 0.27 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#56) | 0.553 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | XAV | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 42.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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