Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCW -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | CAM +125 UNCW -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCW +8 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCW -0.6 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCW -1.1 (-6.9) | 130.7 (+9.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCW -1.3 (-6.7) | 129.0 (+11.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCW -1.0 (-7.0) | 133.2 (+6.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCW -0.7 (-7.3) | 134.0 (+6.0) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CAM 85 – 70 UNCW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UNCW 73 – 68 CAM |
| Jan 18, 2026 | UNCW 78 – 75 CAM |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UNCW 79 – 60 CAM |
| Jan 5, 2025 | UNCW 77 – 69 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 65.2 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#193) | 4.4 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#231) | 2.42 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#195) | 2.89 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#284) | 0.657 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 32.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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