Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -14.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +38 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | NU -16.9 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -14.6 (+23.4) | 132.1 (+13.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -14.9 (+23.1) | 130.2 (+15.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -14.1 (+23.9) | 130.7 (+15.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NU -16.8 (+21.2) | 134.4 (+11.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | NU 83 – 74 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#57) | -3.0 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#46) | -0.44 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.42 (#53) | -0.80 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#59) | 0.471 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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