Betting Lines
| Spread | NU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | NU -1400 UIC +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NU +9 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | NU -20.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NU -19.9 (-10.9) | 141.8 (+15.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NU -18.1 (-9.1) | 141.9 (+15.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NU -15.7 (-6.7) | 144.5 (+12.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2022 | NU 92 – 54 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#13) | 3.0 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#168) | 0.54 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#159) | 0.82 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#119) | 0.625 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 11.9% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 86.2% | 82.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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