Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +42 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -31.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -30.4 (+11.6) | 132.0 (-2.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -28.6 (+13.4) | 127.6 (+2.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -24.6 (+17.4) | 128.4 (+1.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -26.7 (+15.3) | 127.0 (+3.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | TENN 103 – 68 APSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-8 |
| Away | 4-6 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 57.9 | 73.2 |
| Massey | 20.6 (#3) | -5.6 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#11) | -1.05 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#12) | -1.06 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#12) | 0.487 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 38.9% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 37.8% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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