Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -600 NE +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -12.6 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -10.1 (-13.1) | 140.0 (+3.0) | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -12.3 (-15.3) | 142.6 (+0.4) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -10.1 (-13.1) | 141.2 (+1.8) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -10.1 (-13.1) | 141.0 (+2.0) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | DAV 79 – 69 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#159) | -7.0 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#87) | -1.56 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#91) | -1.75 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#50) | 0.436 (#282) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | NE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 14.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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