Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +10 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -2.4 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.8 (+27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -1.4 (-8.6) | 131.5 (+16.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -2.0 (-8.0) | 130.6 (+17.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -0.6 (-9.4) | 132.9 (+15.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -1.1 (-8.9) | 133.9 (+14.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2022 | NE 73 – 70 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-1 |
| Away | 0-12 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#177) | 7.4 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#147) | 2.05 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#173) | 2.29 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#113) | 0.584 (#60) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 42.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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