Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | TEM -1200 UMES +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +8 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -14.2 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -12.7 (-20.7) | 136.2 (+27.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -11.0 (-19.0) | 135.8 (+28.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -11.6 (-19.6) | 136.4 (+27.6) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -10.9 (-18.9) | 134.4 (+29.6) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | TEM 85 – 65 UMES |
| Nov 11, 2021 | TEM 72 – 49 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#161) | -8.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#197) | -0.94 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#170) | -1.52 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#154) | 0.488 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | UMES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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