Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -31.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -8000 EIU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +9 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | IOWA -30.9 (-39.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+27.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -22.9 (-31.9) | 149.9 (+25.1) | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -26.7 (-35.7) | 154.5 (+20.5) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -27.1 (-36.1) | 152.7 (+22.3) | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -26.3 (-35.3) | 150.1 (+24.9) | 90% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#21) | -12.8 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#51) | -3.39 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#45) | -4.27 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#46) | 0.326 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.68 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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