Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | KSU -2000 RAD +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -15.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -15.9 (-7.9) | 140.8 (-2.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -16.7 (-8.7) | 138.2 (-0.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -16.0 (-8.0) | 141.7 (-3.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -16.2 (-8.2) | 141.7 (-3.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#38) | 0.5 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.82 (#15) | -1.00 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.22 (#25) | -1.39 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#21) | 0.436 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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