Betting Lines
| Spread | SJSU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Under |
| Money | SJSU -225 CP +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +22 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | SJSU -8.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJSU -6.1 (+15.9) | 127.2 (-19.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -6.5 (+15.5) | 129.8 (-21.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -5.7 (+16.3) | 130.4 (-22.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJSU -5.8 (+16.2) | 126.4 (-18.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | SJSU 107 – 100 CP |
| Nov 30, 2023 | CP 81 – 77 SJSU |
| Dec 13, 2020 | CP 73 – 71 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 1-18 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 5-8 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 66.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#173) | -4.0 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#96) | -0.66 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#77) | -0.91 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#113) | 0.452 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.9% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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