Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -2.0 Push |
| O/U | 155.0 Under |
| Money | CP -140 SJSU +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | CP -4.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -1.4 (+0.6) | 148.7 (-4.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -2.1 (-0.1) | 151.7 (-7.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -2.5 (-0.5) | 153.2 (-9.2) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 15, 2024 | SJSU 107 – 100 CP |
| Nov 30, 2023 | CP 81 – 77 SJSU |
| Dec 21, 2022 | SJSU 65 – 43 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-20 | 5-16 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 3-13 |
| Home | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Away | 0-11 | 0-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.8 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 82.4 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#298) | -11.2 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#282) | -0.43 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#284) | -0.75 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#146) | 0.507 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 34.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.0% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 26.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.5% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 16.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.1% | 60.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 8.5% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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