Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | NCCU -275 CIT +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +7 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | NCCU -14.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -8.1 (-1.1) | 144.3 (+10.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -10.4 (-3.4) | 143.8 (+11.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -10.1 (-3.1) | 144.4 (+10.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -9.4 (-2.4) | 144.5 (+10.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2023 | CIT 67 – 61 NCCU |
| Dec 7, 2021 | CIT 80 – 67 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#138) | -7.7 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#264) | -0.85 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#249) | -1.23 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#240) | 0.469 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 20.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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