Betting Lines
| Spread | CIT -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +13 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CIT -14.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -11.0 (+2.0) | 154.2 (-7.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -11.1 (+1.9) | 150.4 (-3.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -12.6 (+0.4) | 150.6 (-3.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -12.7 (+0.3) | 152.2 (-5.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2023 | CIT 67 – 61 NCCU |
| Dec 21, 2022 | NCCU 81 – 74 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-5 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#142) | -7.9 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#140) | -1.33 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#141) | -2.40 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#155) | 0.393 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 22.9% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 40.5% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 22.0% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 36.5% |
Game Analysis
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