You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Mullins Center · December 21, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -17.5 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money MASS -1600 / DART +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual MASS +11 125 Won
Massey MASS -17.0 (-6.0) — —
Massey Totals — 137.0 (-12.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MASS -13.4 (-2.4) 138.6 (-13.6) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MASS -11.7 (-0.7) 139.9 (-14.9) 85% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -12.0 (-1.0) 137.5 (-12.5) 87% ✓
Baseline ML MASS -13.1 (-2.1) 137.4 (-12.4) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS DART
Overall 15-16 10-18
Conference 6-12 6-8
Home 8-6 7-5
Away 3-8 3-11
Neutral 4-2 0-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 69.8 68.9
Avg Pts Against 71.4 74.4
Massey 3.6 (#108) -8.6 (#313)
Bradley-Terry 1.48 (#67) -1.93 (#322)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.57 (#89) -2.77 (#329)
RPI 0.592 (#48) 0.392 (#335)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS DART
FG% 42.7% 40.4%
3PT% 34.7% 29.7%
REB / G 38.4 34.3
OREB / G 12.6 8.2
AST / TO 0.99 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.2% 47.1%
TOV% 20.3% 21.3%
ORB% 33.3% 22.8%
FT Rate 21.1% 17.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 16.8%
DRB% 71.5% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 19.1%

Game Analysis

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