Betting Lines
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | OU +138 FLA -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +9 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -2.3 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-24.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -2.9 (+11.9) | 138.6 (-23.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -1.0 (+10.0) | 135.6 (-20.6) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -1.9 (+10.9) | 140.2 (-25.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -2.1 (+11.1) | 142.1 (-27.1) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 14, 2026 | FLA 96 – 79 OU |
| Feb 19, 2025 | FLA 85 – 63 OU |
| Dec 2, 2021 | OU 74 – 67 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#63) | 10.5 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#57) | 1.00 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#46) | 1.65 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#55) | 0.534 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.5% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.5% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 77.5% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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