Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -27.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | IU -20000 ELON +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +24 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | IU -30.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -24.5 (-0.5) | 147.2 (+20.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -24.1 (-0.1) | 144.5 (+23.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -22.0 (+2.0) | 144.6 (+23.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -25.1 (-1.1) | 144.5 (+23.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-2 | 5-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 63.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#17) | -12.1 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#36) | -4.48 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#43) | -6.16 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#64) | 0.300 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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