Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
| Money | WYO +310 SMC -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +12 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | SMC -15.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -11.9 (-0.1) | 131.9 (-11.9) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SMC -10.9 (-1.1) | 128.9 (-8.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SMC -12.5 (+0.5) | 134.3 (-14.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -12.2 (+0.2) | 135.2 (-15.2) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-2 |
| Home | 7-8 | 16-2 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 60.0 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#213) | 13.5 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#269) | 1.62 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#257) | 2.70 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#288) | 0.598 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 76.7% | 80.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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