Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -350 NCAT +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -7.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -6.8 (+6.2) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -8.1 (+4.9) | 139.6 (-2.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -5.7 (+7.3) | 141.4 (-4.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -6.3 (+6.7) | 139.6 (-2.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#246) | -6.6 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#120) | -0.60 (#236) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#129) | -0.79 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#154) | 0.460 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 25.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 31.6% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.