Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -600 IDHO +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +7 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -9.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -6.4 (+0.6) | 147.0 (+10.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -9.4 (-2.4) | 145.7 (+11.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -5.5 (+1.5) | 148.9 (+8.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -6.5 (+0.5) | 148.5 (+8.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2021 | LBSU 95 – 89 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-10 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#151) | -3.0 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#173) | -1.47 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#156) | -1.98 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#173) | 0.372 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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