Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | KENT -175 NMSU +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -6.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -4.3 (+5.7) | 143.7 (-7.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -4.2 (+5.8) | 141.2 (-5.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -5.6 (+4.4) | 142.6 (-6.6) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -5.1 (+4.9) | 141.9 (-5.9) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENT | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 9-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 2-16 |
| Home | 15-0 | 6-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#21) | 6.1 (#80) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#39) | 0.80 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#37) | 1.41 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.591 (#47) | 0.583 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENT | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 40.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.7% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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