Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
| Money | WASH +143 AUB -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +23 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -1.3 (-24.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -2.8 (-25.8) | 140.7 (+4.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -0.4 (-22.6) | 141.6 (+3.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -3.4 (-26.4) | 139.7 (+5.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -2.9 (-25.9) | 141.2 (+3.8) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#87) | 9.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.20 (#87) | 2.04 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.79 (#74) | 2.51 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#80) | 0.627 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 43.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.