Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
Leavey Center · December 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -1.5 Home covered
O/U 139.5 Under
Money SCU +150 / BOIS -138
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCU win
Actual SCU +15 131 Won
Massey BOIS -3.0 (+18.0) — —
Massey Totals — 133.1 (-2.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 51% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -0.8 (+15.8) 135.1 (-4.1) 42% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BOIS -1.3 (+16.3) 138.9 (-7.9) 51% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -0.8 (+15.8) 138.8 (-7.8) 44% ✗
Baseline ML BOIS -0.5 (+15.5) 135.6 (-4.6) 44% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 15, 2021 BOIS 72 – 60 SCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCU BOIS
Overall 23-10 24-10
Conference 11-5 13-5
Home 14-4 14-1
Away 6-3 5-6
Neutral 3-3 5-3
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 77.3 71.5
Avg Pts Against 73.8 65.0
Massey 2.3 (#128) 10.1 (#51)
Bradley-Terry 1.38 (#75) 1.77 (#47)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.70 (#80) 2.65 (#41)
RPI 0.578 (#58) 0.552 (#90)
Shooting & Four Factors SCU BOIS
FG% 43.1% 43.0%
3PT% 35.9% 33.6%
REB / G 39.1 38.4
OREB / G 11.4 9.4
AST / TO 1.02 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.2% 49.8%
TOV% 19.1% 17.5%
ORB% 31.5% 27.9%
FT Rate 23.0% 25.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 41.4%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 18.5%
DRB% 77.8% 78.6%
Opp FT Rate 14.6% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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