Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -800 CHST +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +3 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -6.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -5.4 (-2.4) | 134.4 (-21.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -7.4 (-4.4) | 134.6 (-21.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -4.6 (-1.6) | 136.6 (-23.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -5.1 (-2.1) | 136.2 (-23.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | MINN 66 – 54 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 2-17 | 0-0 |
| Home | 6-11 | 8-0 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-20 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.9 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#251) | -5.8 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#220) | -1.22 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#260) | -1.48 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#179) | 0.421 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 64.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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